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Wednesday, October 8, 2025

Putin’s Strategic Mistake: He Chose Ukraine, Not the EU

 

If Vladimir Putin made one decisive error, it wasn’t just moral — it was strategic. He attacked the one nation in Europe that still believes in freedom rather than obedience. Ukraine turned out not to be the weakest link of the West, but its moral core. The Kremlin’s hunter mistook a reflection for prey — and got trapped in his own illusion.

From the standpoint of cold geopolitical cynicism, the “rational” move for a dictator like Putin would have been to push directly toward the European Union — a region where societies have long been conditioned to avoid war, fear sacrifice, and value comfort above conviction. In Western Europe, generations have grown up believing that evil can always be negotiated with, that diplomacy and consumer stability are permanent shields against history.

Europe’s Fatigue and the Temptation of Submission

A recent ARD broadcast in Germany revealed this disarming pacifism. Two out of three young Germans oppose any form of mandatory military service, even if their country were attacked. One interviewee said, “I wouldn’t fight for borders or spheres of influence.” Another went further: “I’d rather live under Putin’s rule than in a Germany torn by war.”

Such statements are not just naïve — they are symptomatic. Totalitarianism doesn’t always arrive with tanks; sometimes it seeps in through apathy, fear, and the wish “not to be disturbed.” Where people are unwilling to defend their own freedom, authoritarianism doesn’t need to conquer — it’s already invited.

Ukraine as Europe’s Mirror

Ukraine chose differently. Ukrainians refused the logic of submission. They chose to fight — not for territory, but for meaning. For the right to live without a master. That is why Ukraine today stands as Europe’s moral frontier and mirror. It reminds the continent that democracy lives only when someone is ready to die for it.

Putin miscalculated catastrophically. Expecting a quick operation, he encountered a nation reborn. Instead of a compliant colony, he met a people who discovered transcendence through resistance. He ignited not fear, but faith — and that faith has outlasted his armies.

The West Between Freedom and Comfort

The deeper question now lies not in the Kremlin, but in Berlin, Paris, and Brussels. If Europe’s youth say they would not defend their own homeland, this is not pacifism — it is historical amnesia. A pacifism that hides from duty is merely surrender in advance. Freedom, after all, is not a lifestyle; it is an effort.

The irony of history is brutal: Putin chose the one nation impossible to subdue, while the societies most ready to yield watch from their sofas. His defeat was sealed the moment he picked the wrong enemy. He is not fighting Ukraine — he is fighting the very idea of freedom. And that, inevitably, he will lose.

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